TY - GEN
T1 - Who's a good decision maker? Data-driven expert worker ranking under unobservable quality
AU - Geva, Tomer
AU - Saar-Tsechansky, Maytal
N1 - Funding Information:
This work was partially supported by the following sponsor. Exxon Research and Engineering Company, General Electric Company, Northeast Utilities, New York State Energy Research and Development Authority, The Standard Oil Company (Ohio), The University of Rochester, and Empire State Electric Energy Research Corporation. Such support does not imply endorsement of the content by any of the above parties.
PY - 2016
Y1 - 2016
N2 - Evaluation of expert workers by their decision quality has substantial practical value, yet using other expert workers for decision quality evaluation tasks is costly and often infeasible. In this work, we frame the Ranking of Expert workers according to their unobserved decision Quality (REQ) - without resorting to evaluation by other experts - as a new Data Science problem. This problem is challenging, as the correct decisions are commonly unobservable and substantial parts of the information available to the decision maker is not available for retrospective decision evaluation. We propose a new machine learning approach to address this problem. We evaluate our method on one dataset representing real expert decisions and two public datasets, and find that our approach is successful in generating highly accurate rankings. Moreover, we observe that our approach's superiority over the baseline is particularly prominent as evaluation settings become increasingly challenging.
AB - Evaluation of expert workers by their decision quality has substantial practical value, yet using other expert workers for decision quality evaluation tasks is costly and often infeasible. In this work, we frame the Ranking of Expert workers according to their unobserved decision Quality (REQ) - without resorting to evaluation by other experts - as a new Data Science problem. This problem is challenging, as the correct decisions are commonly unobservable and substantial parts of the information available to the decision maker is not available for retrospective decision evaluation. We propose a new machine learning approach to address this problem. We evaluate our method on one dataset representing real expert decisions and two public datasets, and find that our approach is successful in generating highly accurate rankings. Moreover, we observe that our approach's superiority over the baseline is particularly prominent as evaluation settings become increasingly challenging.
KW - Decision evaluation
KW - Predictive modeling
KW - Supervised learning
KW - Worker ranking
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85019401034&partnerID=8YFLogxK
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AN - SCOPUS:85019401034
T3 - 2016 International Conference on Information Systems, ICIS 2016
BT - 2016 International Conference on Information Systems, ICIS 2016
PB - Association for Information Systems
T2 - 2016 International Conference on Information Systems, ICIS 2016
Y2 - 11 December 2016 through 14 December 2016
ER -