TY - JOUR
T1 - Value of information to a group of decision-makers with different priors
AU - Gerchak, Yigal
AU - Cho, Richard Kyucheol
PY - 2001
Y1 - 2001
N2 - The expected value of sample information (EVSI) depends on the decision-maker's (DM) prior beliefs. Some public information or advisory services, however, cater to entire populations of decision-makers, who differ in their prior beliefs (e.g., their degree of optimism). Evaluating the potential contribution of such services thus necessitates averaging the DM-specific EVSI's over the population's prior beliefs' distribution. We show how to accomplish that, exemplifying it for two forms of population heterogeneity. We then compare the exact method to an approximation that computes the EVSI for an "average" DM.
AB - The expected value of sample information (EVSI) depends on the decision-maker's (DM) prior beliefs. Some public information or advisory services, however, cater to entire populations of decision-makers, who differ in their prior beliefs (e.g., their degree of optimism). Evaluating the potential contribution of such services thus necessitates averaging the DM-specific EVSI's over the population's prior beliefs' distribution. We show how to accomplish that, exemplifying it for two forms of population heterogeneity. We then compare the exact method to an approximation that computes the EVSI for an "average" DM.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0034990297&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/S0038-0121(00)00011-2
DO - 10.1016/S0038-0121(00)00011-2
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AN - SCOPUS:0034990297
SN - 0038-0121
VL - 35
SP - 125
EP - 130
JO - Socio-Economic Planning Sciences
JF - Socio-Economic Planning Sciences
IS - 2
ER -