To guide or not to guide? Causes and consequences of stopping quarterly earnings guidance

Joel F. Houston, Baruch Lev, Jennifer Wu Tucker

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In recent years, quarterly earnings guidance has been harshly criticized for inducing "managerial short-termism" and other ills. Managers are, therefore, urged by influential institutions to cease guidance. We examine empirically the causes of such guidance cessation and find that poor operating performance decreased earnings, missing analyst forecasts, and lower anticipated profitability is the major reason firms stop quarterly guidance. After guidance cessation, we do not find an appreciable increase in long-term investment once managers free themselves from investors myopia. Contrary to the claim that firms would provide more alternative, forward-looking disclosures in lieu of the guidance, we find that such disclosures are curtailed. We also find a deterioration in the information environment of guidance stoppers in the form of increased analyst forecast errors and forecast dispersion and a decrease in analyst coverage. Taken together, our evidence indicates that guidance stoppers are primarily troubled firms and stopping guidance does not benefit either the stoppers or their investors.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)143-185
Number of pages43
JournalContemporary Accounting Research
Volume27
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2010
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Earnings guidance
  • Guidance cessation
  • Managerial myopia
  • Voluntary disclosure

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'To guide or not to guide? Causes and consequences of stopping quarterly earnings guidance'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this