TY - JOUR
T1 - The validity of simulated prediction of behavior
AU - Shmotkin, Dov
N1 - Funding Information:
This article is based on a portion of a PhD dissertation that was funded in part by a grant from the Israel Foundations nustees. I am greatly indebted to my advisors, N. Kreitler and S. Kreitler. I am grateful to S. Kreitler and to an anonymous reviewer for their helpfur comments regarding the manuscript.
PY - 1991/10
Y1 - 1991/10
N2 - The author examined a method of predicting behavior, in which the responses of individuals who might conceivably perform certain behaviors were independently simulated by experts acquainted both with the individuals and with the predicted behaviors. Scores derived from belief questionnaires completed by the supervisors of 48 Israeli undergraduate students significantly predicted the students’ behavior almost as accurately as scores derived from questionnaires that had been completed by the students themselves, and more accurately than the supervisors’ intuitive predictions of the students’ behavior.
AB - The author examined a method of predicting behavior, in which the responses of individuals who might conceivably perform certain behaviors were independently simulated by experts acquainted both with the individuals and with the predicted behaviors. Scores derived from belief questionnaires completed by the supervisors of 48 Israeli undergraduate students significantly predicted the students’ behavior almost as accurately as scores derived from questionnaires that had been completed by the students themselves, and more accurately than the supervisors’ intuitive predictions of the students’ behavior.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0026234044&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/00221309.1991.9917792
DO - 10.1080/00221309.1991.9917792
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AN - SCOPUS:0026234044
VL - 118
SP - 317
EP - 325
JO - Journal of General Psychology
JF - Journal of General Psychology
SN - 0022-1309
IS - 4
ER -