The Effect of Heat Stress on Daily Mortality in Tel Aviv, Israel

C. Peretz; A. Biggeri; P. Alpert; M. Baccini

doi:10.1007/978-94-007-2430-3_20

The Effect of Heat Stress on Daily Mortality in Tel Aviv, Israel

C. Peretz^*, A. Biggeri, P. Alpert, M. Baccini

^*Corresponding author for this work

University of Florence

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › peer-review

6 Scopus citations

Abstract

Weather-related morbidity and mortality have attracted renewed interest because of climate changes. During a multi-center project conducted within Europe, the apparent threshold temperature where the heat effect changes was found to be different for Mediterranean and north continental cities. In this paper, we study the V/J relationship between heat stress (Discomfort Index-DI) and mortality in Tel Aviv, a city within Asia, using daily data of mortality counts and meteorological variables for the period 1/1/2000-31/12/2004; using a Poisson regression and accounting for confounders. The relationship between the discomfort index DI (lag 0-3) and log mortality rates was J shaped for Tel Aviv. The DI threshold was found to be 29.3 (90% CrI = 28.0-30.7). Above this threshold, a 1 unit increase in DI was found to be associated with increased mortality of 3.72% (90% CrI = -0.23 to 8.72). NO₂ was also found to have a significant effect on mortality. As global warming continues, even though there exists a high awareness amongst the Israeli population of the negative health impacts of heat, there is still a vital need to develop local policies to mitigate heat-related deaths.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	National Security and Human Health Implications of Climate Change
Editors	H.J.S. Fernando, Z.B. Klaic, J.L. McCulley
Place of Publication	Dordrecht
Publisher	Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands
Pages	241-251
Number of pages	11
ISBN (Electronic)	978-94-007-2430-3
ISBN (Print)	9789400724297, 978-94-007-2500-3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2430-3_20
State	Published - 2012

Publication series

Name	NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security
Volume	125
ISSN (Print)	1874-6519
ISSN (Electronic)	1874-6543

Funding

Funders	Funder number
Environment and Health Fund

Keywords

Global warming
Heat stress
Mediterranean cities
Mortality

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

10.1007/978-94-007-2430-3_20

Cite this

Peretz, C., Biggeri, A., Alpert, P., & Baccini, M. (2012). The Effect of Heat Stress on Daily Mortality in Tel Aviv, Israel. In H. J. S. Fernando, Z. B. Klaic, & J. L. McCulley (Eds.), National Security and Human Health Implications of Climate Change (pp. 241-251). (NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security; Vol. 125). Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2430-3_20

Peretz, C. ; Biggeri, A. ; Alpert, P. et al. / The Effect of Heat Stress on Daily Mortality in Tel Aviv, Israel. National Security and Human Health Implications of Climate Change. editor / H.J.S. Fernando ; Z.B. Klaic ; J.L. McCulley. Dordrecht : Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 2012. pp. 241-251 (NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security).

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abstract = "Weather-related morbidity and mortality have attracted renewed interest because of climate changes. During a multi-center project conducted within Europe, the apparent threshold temperature where the heat effect changes was found to be different for Mediterranean and north continental cities. In this paper, we study the V/J relationship between heat stress (Discomfort Index-DI) and mortality in Tel Aviv, a city within Asia, using daily data of mortality counts and meteorological variables for the period 1/1/2000-31/12/2004; using a Poisson regression and accounting for confounders. The relationship between the discomfort index DI (lag 0-3) and log mortality rates was J shaped for Tel Aviv. The DI threshold was found to be 29.3 (90% CrI = 28.0-30.7). Above this threshold, a 1 unit increase in DI was found to be associated with increased mortality of 3.72% (90% CrI = -0.23 to 8.72). NO2 was also found to have a significant effect on mortality. As global warming continues, even though there exists a high awareness amongst the Israeli population of the negative health impacts of heat, there is still a vital need to develop local policies to mitigate heat-related deaths.",

keywords = "Global warming, Heat stress, Mediterranean cities, Mortality",

author = "C. Peretz and A. Biggeri and P. Alpert and M. Baccini",

note = "Funding Information: Many thanks to Alina Rosenberg who contributed to data preparation and to the Environment and Health Fund for financial support. papers presented at the NATO Advanced Research Workshop held in Dubrovnik, Croatia in 2011.",

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Peretz, C, Biggeri, A, Alpert, P & Baccini, M 2012, The Effect of Heat Stress on Daily Mortality in Tel Aviv, Israel. in HJS Fernando, ZB Klaic & JL McCulley (eds), National Security and Human Health Implications of Climate Change. NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security, vol. 125, Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, Dordrecht, pp. 241-251. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2430-3_20

The Effect of Heat Stress on Daily Mortality in Tel Aviv, Israel. / Peretz, C.; Biggeri, A.; Alpert, P. et al.
National Security and Human Health Implications of Climate Change. ed. / H.J.S. Fernando; Z.B. Klaic; J.L. McCulley. Dordrecht: Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 2012. p. 241-251 (NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security; Vol. 125).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › peer-review

TY - CHAP

T1 - The Effect of Heat Stress on Daily Mortality in Tel Aviv, Israel

AU - Peretz, C.

AU - Biggeri, A.

AU - Alpert, P.

AU - Baccini, M.

N1 - Funding Information: Many thanks to Alina Rosenberg who contributed to data preparation and to the Environment and Health Fund for financial support. papers presented at the NATO Advanced Research Workshop held in Dubrovnik, Croatia in 2011.

PY - 2012

Y1 - 2012

N2 - Weather-related morbidity and mortality have attracted renewed interest because of climate changes. During a multi-center project conducted within Europe, the apparent threshold temperature where the heat effect changes was found to be different for Mediterranean and north continental cities. In this paper, we study the V/J relationship between heat stress (Discomfort Index-DI) and mortality in Tel Aviv, a city within Asia, using daily data of mortality counts and meteorological variables for the period 1/1/2000-31/12/2004; using a Poisson regression and accounting for confounders. The relationship between the discomfort index DI (lag 0-3) and log mortality rates was J shaped for Tel Aviv. The DI threshold was found to be 29.3 (90% CrI = 28.0-30.7). Above this threshold, a 1 unit increase in DI was found to be associated with increased mortality of 3.72% (90% CrI = -0.23 to 8.72). NO2 was also found to have a significant effect on mortality. As global warming continues, even though there exists a high awareness amongst the Israeli population of the negative health impacts of heat, there is still a vital need to develop local policies to mitigate heat-related deaths.

AB - Weather-related morbidity and mortality have attracted renewed interest because of climate changes. During a multi-center project conducted within Europe, the apparent threshold temperature where the heat effect changes was found to be different for Mediterranean and north continental cities. In this paper, we study the V/J relationship between heat stress (Discomfort Index-DI) and mortality in Tel Aviv, a city within Asia, using daily data of mortality counts and meteorological variables for the period 1/1/2000-31/12/2004; using a Poisson regression and accounting for confounders. The relationship between the discomfort index DI (lag 0-3) and log mortality rates was J shaped for Tel Aviv. The DI threshold was found to be 29.3 (90% CrI = 28.0-30.7). Above this threshold, a 1 unit increase in DI was found to be associated with increased mortality of 3.72% (90% CrI = -0.23 to 8.72). NO2 was also found to have a significant effect on mortality. As global warming continues, even though there exists a high awareness amongst the Israeli population of the negative health impacts of heat, there is still a vital need to develop local policies to mitigate heat-related deaths.

KW - Global warming

KW - Heat stress

KW - Mediterranean cities

KW - Mortality

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BT - National Security and Human Health Implications of Climate Change

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ER -

Peretz C, Biggeri A, Alpert P, Baccini M. The Effect of Heat Stress on Daily Mortality in Tel Aviv, Israel. In Fernando HJS, Klaic ZB, McCulley JL, editors, National Security and Human Health Implications of Climate Change. Dordrecht: Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands. 2012. p. 241-251. (NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security). doi: 10.1007/978-94-007-2430-3_20

The Effect of Heat Stress on Daily Mortality in Tel Aviv, Israel

Abstract

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Keywords

UN SDGs

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