The dynamics of agriculture supply: A reconsideration

Zvi Eckstein*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

20 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper presents a dynamic rational expectations equilibrium model for a given crop. The dynamic supply equation is derived from the farmer optimization problem; and the equilibrium movements of commodity price, production, and land allocations are solved analytically. It is shown that the observed dynamics of agriculture supply, which are usually explained and measured with the Nerlovian supply response model, can be explained and measured at least as well by the rational expectations equilibrium model. However, interpretation of the results is different, and the paper defines explicitly the dynamic supply elasticities and presents an econometric method for consistent estimators for the parameters.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)204-214
Number of pages11
JournalAmerican Journal of Agricultural Economics
Volume67
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - May 1985

Funding

FundersFunder number
David Horowitz Institute for Developing Countries
Foerder Institute for Economic Research
General Services Foundation

    Keywords

    • Observational equivalence
    • Rational expectations
    • Supply elasticities
    • Supply response

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