Rational policymaking during a pandemic

Loïc Berger*, Nicolas Berger, Valentina Bosetti, Itzhak Gilboa, Lars Peter Hansen*, Christopher Jarvis, Massimo Marinacci, Richard D. Smith

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

61 Scopus citations

Abstract

Policymaking during a pandemic can be extremely challenging. As COVID-19 is a new disease and its global impacts are unprecedented, decisions are taken in a highly uncertain, complex, and rapidly changing environment. In such a context, in which human lives and the economy are at stake, we argue that using ideas and constructs from modern decision theory, even informally, will make policymaking a more responsible and transparent process.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2012704118
JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Volume118
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - 26 Jan 2021

Funding

FundersFunder number
AXA Chairs for Decision Sciences
Foerder Institute at Tel-Aviv University
Alfred P. Sloan FoundationG-2018-11113
Alfred P. Sloan Foundation
Seventh Framework ProgrammeFP7-2007-2013, 336703, 670337
Seventh Framework Programme
European Research Council
Agence Nationale de la RechercheANR-11-LABX-0047, ANR-17-CE03-0008-01, ANR-11-IDEX-0003
Agence Nationale de la Recherche
Israel Science Foundation1077/17
Israel Science Foundation
Higher Education Commission, Pakistan
Seventh Framework Programme
Università Bocconi
Horizon 2020

    Keywords

    • Ambiguity
    • Model uncertainty
    • Robustness

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