Mapping brain volume change across time in primary-progressive multiple sclerosis

Purpose: Detection and prediction of the rate of brain volume loss with age is a significant unmet need in patients with primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS). In this study we construct detailed brain volume maps for PPMS patients. These maps compare age-related changes in both cortical and sub-cortical regions with those in healthy individuals. Methods: We conducted retrospective analyses of brain volume using T1-weighted Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) scans of a large cohort of PPMS patients and healthy subjects. The volume of brain parenchyma (BP), cortex, white matter (WM), deep gray matter, thalamus, and cerebellum were measured using the robust SynthSeg segmentation tool. Age- and gender-related regression curves were constructed based on data from healthy subjects, with the 95% prediction interval adopted as the normality threshold for each brain region. Results: We analyzed 495 MRI scans from 169 PPMS patients, aged 20–79 years, alongside 563 exams from healthy subjects aged 20–86. Compared to healthy subjects, a higher proportion of PPMS patients showed lower than expected brain volumes in all regions except the cerebellum. The most affected areas were BP, WM, and thalamus. Lower brain volumes correlated with longer disease duration for BP and WM, and higher disability for BP, WM, cortex, and thalamus. Conclusions: Constructing age- and gender-related brain volume maps enabled identifying PPMS patients at a higher risk of brain volume loss. Monitoring these high-risk patients may lead to better treatment decisions and improve patient outcomes.