TY - JOUR
T1 - Irrational diversification in multiple decision problems
AU - Rubinstein, Ariel
PY - 2002/9
Y1 - 2002/9
N2 - The paper deals with multiple decision problems, which are similar to the task of guessing the color outcomes of five independent spinnings of a roulette wheel, 60% of whose slots are red and 40% white. Each correct guess yields a prize of $1. The guess of 5 Reds clearly first order stochastic dominates any other strategy. In contrast, subjects diversify their choices when facing a multiple decision problem in which the choice is between lotteries with clear objective probabilities. The diversification is stronger when the subjects face uncertainty without objective probabilities and weaker when the choice problem involves real life actions.
AB - The paper deals with multiple decision problems, which are similar to the task of guessing the color outcomes of five independent spinnings of a roulette wheel, 60% of whose slots are red and 40% white. Each correct guess yields a prize of $1. The guess of 5 Reds clearly first order stochastic dominates any other strategy. In contrast, subjects diversify their choices when facing a multiple decision problem in which the choice is between lotteries with clear objective probabilities. The diversification is stronger when the subjects face uncertainty without objective probabilities and weaker when the choice problem involves real life actions.
KW - Diversification
KW - Matching probabilities
KW - Multiple decision problem
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0036724229&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/S0014-2921(01)00186-6
DO - 10.1016/S0014-2921(01)00186-6
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AN - SCOPUS:0036724229
SN - 0014-2921
VL - 46
SP - 1369
EP - 1378
JO - European Economic Review
JF - European Economic Review
IS - 8
ER -