Extended deterrence in the middle east

Yair Evron*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

The article presents and analyzes the US extended deterrence commitments in the Middle East as well as those provided by regional states, and assesses the effectiveness and credibility of these commitments. The article then proceeds to analyze a situation wherein Iran successfully develops nuclear weapons. It considers first the security requirements and alternatives of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, and then proceeds to assess the stability-or instability-of an Israeli-Iranian nuclear balance. The enhancement of US extended deterrence in the region is required in order to deter Iran, reassure allies, and contribute to the stability of an Israeli-Iranian nuclear balance. The article also discusses several contextual issues, such as: the future form of US extended deterrence; distinguishing between the latter and other US extended deterrence commitments; and the different approaches of specific GCC states and Israel.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)377-390
Number of pages14
JournalNonproliferation Review
Volume19
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2012

Keywords

  • Deterrence
  • Extended deterrence
  • Iran
  • Israel
  • Middle East
  • Nuclear balance

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