Exchange rate uncertainty, futures markets and the multinational firm

Udo Broll*, Itzhak Zilcha

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

48 Scopus citations


We consider a monopolistic, risk-averse multinational firm which sells and produces at home and abroad under exchange rate uncertainty. First we show that the stochastic exchange rate implies higher production and lower sales in the foreign country. Then we analyze the impact of currency futures markets. A separation result is obtained for a multinational firm, i.e., production and the allocation of sales are independent of the distribution of the random exchange rate and of the firm's attitude towards risk. We also examine the effect of currency futures on a multinational firm's foreign direct investments. In the absence of futures markets we obtain some comparative statics results when risk aversion increases.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)815-826
Number of pages12
JournalEuropean Economic Review
Issue number4
StatePublished - May 1992


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