Evaluation of MADIT-II Risk Stratification Score Among Nationwide Registry of Heart Failure Patients With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardiac Defibrillators or Resynchronization Therapy Devices

The current guidelines advocate prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) for all patients with symptomatic heart failure (HF) with low left ventricular ejection fraction. Because many patients will never use their device, a score delineating subgroups with differential ICD benefit is crucial. We aimed to evaluate the MADIT-II-based Risk Stratification Score (MRSS) feasibility to delineate the ICD survival benefit in a nationwide registry of patients with HF with prophylactic ICDs. Accordingly, all Israeli patients with HF with prophylactic ICD/cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillators were categorized into MRSS-based risk subgroups. The study end points included overall mortality, sustained ventricular arrhythmia (VA), and a competing risk of VA (potential preventable arrhythmic death, where ICD could benefit survival) versus nonarrhythmic death. Potential ICD survival benefit was estimated by the area between these cumulative incidence curves. In 2,177 patients with HF implanted prophylactic device, 189 patients (8.7%) had VA and 316 (14.5%) died during a median follow-up of 2.9 years. The MRSS risk subgroups were significantly associated with overall mortality (p <0.001) and weakly with VA (p = 0.3). The competing risk analysis of VA versus nonarrhythmic death revealed a significantly shorter duration (p <0.001) and smaller magnitude of ICD survival benefit with increased risk subgroups, yielding an estimated 76, 60, 38, and 0 life days gained from prophylactic ICD implant during a 5-year follow-up for the MRSS low-, intermediate-, high-, and very high-risk subgroups, respectively (p for trend <0.05). In conclusion, MRSS use in a nationwide registry of patients with ischemic and nonischemic cardiomyopathy, revealed subgroups with differing ICD survival benefit, suggesting it could help evaluate prophylactic ICD survival benefit.