Colectomy Rates did not Decrease in Paediatric- and Adult-Onset Ulcerative Colitis During the Biologics Era: A Nationwide Study From the epi-IIRN

Background: It is still of debate whether the advent of biologics has been associated with a change in the natural history of ulcerative colitis [UC]. In this nationwide study we evaluated trends of long-term outcomes in all patients diagnosed with UC in Israel during the biologic era. Methods: Data in the epi-IIRN cohort were retrieved from the four Israeli Health Maintenance Organizations covering 98% of the population, and linked to the Ministry of Health prospective registry on surgeries and hospitalizations. Joinpoint Regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were used, reporting annual average percentage change [AAPC] for each outcome. Results: A total of 13 231 patients were diagnosed with UC since 2005 (1426 [11%] paediatric-onset, 10 310 [78%] adults, 1495 [11%] elderly) with 93 675 person-years of follow-up. The probabilities of surgery after 1, 3 and 5 years from diagnosis were 1.1, 2.3 and 4.1%, respectively, and the corresponding rates of hospitalizations were 22, 33 and 41%. The overall utilization of biologics in UC increased from 0.1% in 2005 to 9.6% in 2019 [AAPC 22.1%] and they were prescribed earlier during the disease course (median of 5.6 years [interquartile range 2.8-9.1] in 2005-2008 vs 0.8 years [0.4-1.5] in 2015-2018; p < 0.001]. Annual rates of surgeries [AAPC -1.3; p = 0.6] and steroid-dependency [AAPC -1.2; p = 0.3] remained unchanged, while rates of hospitalizations slightly decreased [AAPC -1.2; p < 0.001]. Outcomes were consistently worse in paediatric-onset disease than in adults, despite higher utilization of biologics [28% vs 12%, respectively; p < 0.001]. Conclusion: During the biologic era rates of surgeries and steroid-dependency have remained unchanged in patients with UC, while rates of hospitalizations have slightly decreased.