Assessing the Threat of Major Outbreaks of Vector-Borne Diseases Under a Changing Climate

R. N. Thompson, Michael J. Thompson , J. W. Hurrell, L. Sun, U. Obolski

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Michael J. Thompson served as the Director of the High Altitude Observatory at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colorado, where he was also a Senior Scientist. In September 2013, Michael became the Deputy Director and Chief Operating Officer of NCAR, enjoying a very close working relationship with Director Jim Hurrell. During this time, Michael oversaw an organisation conducting research in a range of fields, including his own topics of solar and stellar physics, as well as others such as atmospheric chemistry and climate science. At the same time, his son Robin was completing a PhD in mathematical epidemiology at the University of Cambridge, UK, after which he was awarded an independent Junior Research Fellowship at the University of Oxford. However, the work conducted at NCAR and Robin’s research have more overlap than might at first be expected. Here we present results from a collaboration that was set up following Michael’s untimely death in October 2018, between climate scientists (Jim Hurrell and Lantao Sun) and mathematical epidemiologists (Robin Thompson and Uri Obolski). Specifically, we propose a framework for studying the effect of climate variability and change on vector-borne disease risk. We introduce a new quantity—the Instantaneous Outbreak Risk (IOR)—which quantifies the risk posed by an invading pathogen accounting for the climatic conditions when that pathogen enters the population. We show how the IOR can be used to assess the threat from vector-borne diseases under a changing climate.
Original languageAmerican English
Title of host publicationDynamics of the Sun and Stars
Subtitle of host publicationHonoring the Life and Work of Michael J. Thompson
Editors Mário J. P. F. G. Monteiro, Rafael A. García, Jørgen Christensen-Dalsgaard, Scott W. McIntosh
PublisherSpringer, Cham
Pages25-35
Number of pages11
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-030-55336-4
ISBN (Print)978-3-030-55335-7
DOIs
StatePublished - 2020
EventCONFERENCE ON DYNAMICS OF THE SUN AND STARS


: HONOURING THE LIFE AND WORK OF MICHAEL J. THOMPSON
- NCAR–USA, Boulder, Colorado, United States
Duration: 24 Sep 201926 Sep 2019
https://www2.hao.ucar.edu/MJTWorkshop2019

Publication series

NameAstrophysics and Space Science Proceedings
PublisherSpringer
Volume57
ISSN (Print)1570-6591
ISSN (Electronic)1570-6605

Conference

ConferenceCONFERENCE ON DYNAMICS OF THE SUN AND STARS


Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityBoulder, Colorado
Period24/09/1926/09/19
Internet address

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Assessing the Threat of Major Outbreaks of Vector-Borne Diseases Under a Changing Climate'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this