Abstract
Objectives: The ability of the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) and European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE)-2 scores to predict outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is insufficient. Frailty and serum albumin as a frailty marker were shown to correlate with prognosis after TAVR. We sought to evaluate the additive value of serum albumin to STS and EuroSCORE-2 scores to predict mortality in individuals undergoing TAVR. Design: Retrospective analysis. Setting: Tertiary-care hospital prospective registry. Participants: Individuals who underwent TAVR (N = 426). Measurements: We compared survival rates according to median baseline albumin levels (4 g/dL), STS score (4.5%), and EuroSCORE-2 (3.45%). Participants were divided into four groups according to median serum albumin and median STS and EuroSCORE-2 scores (high vs low), and 1-year survival rates were compared. A category-free net reclassification index (NRI) was calculated to compare the ability of a model of STS or EuroSCORE-2 alone to classify mortality risk with and without the addition of baseline serum albumin. Results: Participants with low albumin levels had higher mortality (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.66–5.26, P <.001). Participants with low serum albumin and a high STS (HR = 4.55, 95% CI = 2.21–9.38, P <.001) or EuroSCORE-2 (HR = 2.72, 95% CI = 1.48–5.06, P =.001) score had higher mortality. Using NRI analysis, a model that included albumin in addition to STS correctly reclassified 42% of events (NRI = 0.58) and a model that included albumin in addition to EuroSCORE-2 correctly reclassified 44% of events (NRI = 0.64). Conclusion: Serum albumin, as a marker of frailty, can significantly improve the ability of STS and EuroSCORE-2 scores to predict TAVR-related mortality.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 2413-2417 |
Number of pages | 5 |
Journal | Journal of the American Geriatrics Society |
Volume | 65 |
Issue number | 11 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Nov 2017 |
Keywords
- TAVR
- albumin
- aortic stenosis
- frailty
- risk scores