Abstract
A seemingly plausible application of Bayesian decision-theoretic reasoning to determine one's rational degrees of belief yields a paradoxical conclusion: one ought to jettison one's intermediate credences in favour of more extreme (opinionated) ones. I discuss various attempts to solve the paradox, those involving the acceptance of the paradoxical conclusion, and those which attempt to block its derivation.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 51-66 |
Number of pages | 16 |
Journal | British Journal for the Philosophy of Science |
Volume | 52 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Mar 2001 |